Research infrastructure for active managers

What's priced. What could replace it. What evidence says.

Continuum synthesises evidence across domains no analyst can fully cover and applies disciplined analytical method that holds under pressure. Comprehensive preparation for every position in your portfolio, continuously.

The judgment remains yours. The preparation is ours.

Cross-domain synthesis

Regulatory, academic, broker, competitor — connected with full attribution.

Real-time fundamentals

Price context alongside narrative. What does valuation imply?

Every claim sourced

Click through to original documents. Verify everything.

Latest Research

Active coverage across the ASX.

XRO.AX
Xero Limited
A$84.28
UPSIDE

Stock down 55% on sentiment, not fundamentals. Consensus target 120%+ above current price.

WOW.AX
Woolworths Group
A$31.41
DOWNSIDE

Premium multiple pricing turnaround, but FY25 delivered 19% NPAT decline. H1 FY26 is the test.

WTC.AX
WiseTech Global
A$49.30
DOWNSIDE

Governance crisis: founder-CEO resigned, board mass departure. Stock down 61% from highs.

Always ingesting. Always synthesising.

Six domains. 3,847 documents today.

Evidence accumulates before consensus changes.

Recent IngestionsStreaming
Corporate· ASX filings, presentations
Regulatory· RBA, APRA, ACCC, ABS
Academic· Journals, JORC, trials
Broker· MS, UBS, Macq, Citi
Legal· Courts, FIRB
Data· CoreLogic, S&P, Nielsen

From Appendix 4E filings to JORC resource estimates. From RBA minutes to clinical trials. Evidence that's never been connected — synthesised continuously.

The Framework

Every position is a bet on one thesis over its alternatives.

We make the thesis explicit, surface the competitors, and test all of them.

What's Priced

Every valuation embeds assumptions about growth, margins, competitive position, and duration. We extract them. What does this price actually require to be true?

What Could Replace It

The embedded thesis has alternatives. Different interpretations of the same evidence. Variant views on what's coming. We surface all plausible hypotheses, including the ones consensus has dismissed.

What Evidence Says

Across domains, signals accumulate. Corporate filings, regulatory documents, academic research, competitor disclosures. We monitor continuously, testing which hypothesis the evidence supports.

Know what's priced. Know what could replace it. Know where evidence is accumulating.

Where divergence appears.

When evidence shifts, it shows up in predictable places. We monitor all of them.

Evidence vs. Thesis

The cracks appear in the footnotes.

Evidence is accumulating against an embedded assumption. A regulatory finding. A competitor disclosure. Academic research. The thesis required something to be true, and signals suggest otherwise.

A crack in the foundation worth investigating.

Price vs. Narrative

The move happened. The explanation hasn't.

The stock is repricing but commentary hasn't changed. Something is shifting. One hypothesis gaining believers, another losing them. Price reflects it before anyone can articulate why.

The move itself is information. Worth looking.

Alternative Strengthening

The variant view is accumulating evidence. Quietly.

The consensus narrative remains intact. But a competing interpretation, underweighted by the market, is accumulating evidence in its favour. Building steadily.

Early detection. Before the crowd rotates.

Request AccessSee how Trinity monitors divergence across your portfolio.

The Method

Engineered discipline.

Good judgment requires structure. We build the structure.

Humans anchor, seek confirmation, process incrementally, and struggle to hold competing hypotheses. Disciplined method compensates for what awareness alone cannot.

01

Generate alternatives

Before evaluating anything, systematically generate all plausible interpretations. What are the ways this could go? What would different market participants believe?

02

Find what settles it

Most evidence fits multiple stories. We identify what actually distinguishes between them — the evidence that would look different depending on which hypothesis is true.

03

Try to break it

Actively search for evidence against each hypothesis. The survivor — the interpretation you could not disprove — is the one that deserves confidence.

04

Define what would change your mind

Set the conditions for revision in advance, before contradictory evidence arrives and creates pressure to explain it away. Pre-commitment defeats rationalisation.

See what's priced. Test what holds.

Comprehensive synthesis across domains. Disciplined method that holds under pressure. Attribution you can verify. Context you can evaluate.

The judgment is yours. The preparation is ours.

Request Access

Continuum is in private access with select institutional investors.