Portfolio

Thirty Positions.
Continuous Monitoring.

For every position, Continuum Intelligence holds competing hypotheses, sets tripwires for revision, and tracks evidence as it accumulates across ten domains.

0

Positions

0

Need Attention

0

Approaching

0

Stable

Monitoring active

Needs Attention (3)

WOWDivergence

Woolworths Group

6/8 domains contradict thesis

Embedded Thesis

Margins recover FY27 as competitive intensity normalises

Competing Hypotheses

H1
15%
H2
8%
H3
62%
H4
15%

Evidence Alignment

2 support / 6 contradict

Next Decision Point

H1 Results (12d)

Latest Signal · 2 days ago

Competitor 4E shows share gains accelerating, targets premium segment

14 months monitoring203 docs processed
JHXDivergence

James Hardie

5/8 domains contradict thesis

Embedded Thesis

US housing recovery drives volume growth through FY26

Competing Hypotheses

H1
22%
H2
12%
H3
54%
H4
12%

Evidence Alignment

2 support / 5 contradict

Next Decision Point

Q3 Trading Update (28d)

Latest Signal · Yesterday

US housing starts data below consensus; builder sentiment declining

11 months monitoring156 docs processed
QBETripwire

QBE Insurance

Combined ratio guidance revised to 95.5%...

Embedded Thesis

Combined ratio sustains below 94% through cycle

Competing Hypotheses

H1
28%
H2
18%
H3
42%
H4
12%

Evidence Alignment

3 support / 4 contradict

Next Decision Point

FY Results (18d)

Tripwire Triggered · Yesterday

Combined ratio guidance revised to 95.5% (threshold was 95%)

16 months monitoring187 docs processed

Decision Points Approaching (5)

Stable (21)— Evidence aligned with priced thesis

CBAH1 58%
WBCH1 48%
ANZH1 45%
RIOH1 52%
FMGH1 42%
WESH1 55%
XROH1 48%
REAH1 58%
TCLH1 52%
ALLH1 48%
IAGH1 45%
SUNH1 52%
SCGH1 45%
AMCH1 48%
ORGH1 50%
WDSH1 45%
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Portfolio-Level Patterns

Position-by-position review misses what emerges at portfolio scale: common assumptions across holdings, correlated hypotheses, and concentration in scenarios where consensus is correct.

Common Assumptions

"Rates decline H2 2025"14/30

CBA NAB WBC ANZ GMG SCG GPT + 7 more

"Consumer spending normalises"8/30

WOW WES JBH SUL HVN PMV LOV COL

Leading Hypothesis Distribution

H1 (Consensus)
23
H2 (Upside)
4
H3 (Downside)
3

This portfolio is positioned for consensus being correct.

What thirty positions look like when nothing falls through the cracks.

Context that compounds over time, across every position, rather than resetting with each review cycle.

The judgment remains yours. The preparation is ours.

Continuum Intelligence is in private access with select institutional investors.